CORPUS CHRISTI, Texas — INVEST 92L has moved into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, where it is now over the warm gulf waters...upper 80s...ripe for development. This system will not have much wind shear to get through as it progresses southwest into the northern gulf through Friday. Invest 92L will likely become organized by Thursday and will be given a name - Barry.
The first forecast cone for our potential tropical cyclone was released at 10AM, July 10. While and organized system is not yet happening, there is enough confidence in forecast models to go ahead and start issuing these products. Southeastern Texas near Galveston to Eastern Louisiana near New Orleans are all in the cone.
Invest 92-L is forecast to reach low-end category 1 hurricane status Saturday prior to landfall. Storm surge and tropical storm watches are posted for Eastern Louisiana. Storm surge and heavy flooding rains will be problematic, especially to the east of where the center of this feature tracks.
For the Coastal Bend, effects will be minor and confined to the coast. Larger waves and swells will lead to minor coastal flooding and an elevated risk for rip currents this weekend.
We'll continue to keep you posted on the development of this system. Remember, it is hurricane season and you should always be prepared.